Spacex has become the source of the nourishment needed for a secular bear market’s life span to increase to 20 years from eight years. Based the statistics for all secular markets dating back to 1802, newest secular bear has begun or will soon begin.
Spacex closed at all-time low of $108.37 on 7/31/26. Anyone and everyone who has purchased shares at any price other than the price at Friday’s close is a loser. At 07/31/26 there was not anyone in the world who had a profit from buying a share since Spacex went public. The loss for all of those seemingly lucky ones, who had received an IPO allocation, was 20 percent at Friday’s close.
The 11:22 video below is a clip from the 07/18/26 “Markowski on the Markets” complimentary ZOOM session which is held every Saturday at 11:30AM EST (USA).
The video explains the:
- Eight to 20 years up and down cycles the stock market has experienced since 1810
- Rationale for why the negative sentiment created by Spacex IPO will result in the next secular bear having a duration of 20 years.
- Defensive strategy that can be deployed, which is projected to produce a gain of 21.5% per annum.
In an October 2025 report published by Bloomberg, Vanguard, the world’s second largest asset manager, predicted that the annual gains for US stocks for the 2026 to 2035 ten year period would range from 3.3% to 5.3%. Vanguard’s predicted returns are in line with the performance of two of the prior secular seculars, that had minimal annualized gains instead of losses.
For perspective, for the prior ten years through 2025, the annual gain was 15.26%.
SpaceX, Fodder for Secular Bear
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Updates & timely info pertaining to just concluded trading week including:
─ Coverage of the extreme market and economic events that are discovered and analyzed
─ Analyses of S&P 500 divergences and technicals
─ Pertinent news for U.S. & Global Economy
─ Companies listed on SaveChangeWorld.com that qualify for inclusion in a defensive growth portfolio
- Publicly traded micro-caps with 10X upside potential
- Private startup and early stage with 100X upside potential
Michael Markowski, Director of Research for AlphaTack.com. Developer of “Defensive Growth Strategy”. Entered markets with Merrill Lynch in 1977. Named “Top 50 Investor” by Fortune Magazine. Formerly, underwriter of venture stage IPOs, including one acquired by United Health Care for 1700% gain. Since 2002 has conducted empirical research to develop algorithms which predict the negative and positive extremes for the market and stocks. Has verifiable track records for predicting (1) bankruptcies of blue chips, (2) market crashes and (3) stocks multiplying by 10X. In a 2007 Equities Magazine article predicted the epic collapses for Lehman, Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch. Most recent algorithm developed from research of UBER and AirBnB has enabled identification of startups having 100X upside potential within 7 to 10 years.