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Featured AlphaTack Intel Article
Iran’s Cheap, Plentiful Weaponry Puts US Military Under Unprecedented Strain
As the conflict extends toward a third week, an arsenal of attack drones and ballistic missiles has helped make Tehran unlike any adversary the US has faced. When the first cruise missiles began detonating inside Iran, the strikes had all the hallmarks of previous...
– AlphaTack Intel Articles –
S&P 500 is in a “VixVortex”; Expect Double-Digit Decline
The "VixVortex" was discovered as a result of recently completed studies on market volatility and the CBOE's empirical data for the VIX from 2002 to 2021. The fourth VixVortex for the S&P 500 is currently in progress. The minimum to maximum decline for the S&P...
Copper Jumps to Record as Growth Bets Supercharge Commodities
Copper soared to a fresh all-time high as optimism about a global rebound from the pandemic boosts commodities markets. The metal -- an economic bellwether -- is front and center in a rally that’s driven raw materials from lumber to iron ore to multiyear highs or...
One in Four Shares in $12 Billion Bond ETF Are Now Sold Short
As the U.S. economic rebound continues to dazzle, the mood music in the world’s biggest bond market is getting darker. Short interest in the $12 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund (ticker TLT) now clocks in at 25% of shares outstanding, the...
The Battle Royale: Stocks vs. Bonds (Which Is Right?)
The Battle Royale: Stocks vs. Bonds. The S&P 500 is at valuations higher than those in 1929 and rival those of 1999. Despite a recession, the index is 25% above where it was trading before the pandemic. The equity stampede is undoubtedly bullish about corporate...
Low Future Returns Requires A “Real” Bear Market
When there is a discussion of low future returns due to valuations, what gets missed is that such requires a bear market. Let me explain. In “Do You Feel Lucky,” Michael Lebowitz compiled a series of valuation metrics and their correlation to future returns. To wit:...
Stock Shorts Collapse as No Hedge Fund Wants ‘Head Ripped Off’
Wall Street bears battered by the Reddit crowd earlier this year have yet to regain their gumption, even with stocks at records and valuations near two-decade highs. The median short interest in members of the S&P 500 sits at just 1.6% of market value, near a...